Two-Start Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball Week 25 (9/19-9/25)

Staff report


If you are reading this article then you are more than likely in the semifinals or in the championship of your fantasy baseball league. If that’s the case, make sure you are very strategic with streaming two-start pitchers this week. A solid one-start pitcher is almost always better than a risky two-start pitcher. Lastly, pitching rotations are very unpredictable at this point. Therefore, it is crucial that you consistently check the Fangraphs Starting Pitchers Grid before you make any moves or transactions. Let’s take a look at the two-start pitchers for Week 25 (9/19-9/25)!

Week 25 Two-Start Pitchers

Must-Start: These pitchers should be started regardless of match-up. They are a must-start in all leagues until further notice.

Should-Start: These pitchers should start in most leagues. This is based on the pedigree of the pitcher and/or favorable matchups.

Risky Business: Only start these pitchers if you are in a deep roto or points league, desperate for counting stats, or feeling lucky.

Must Sit: Do not start these pitchers.

Must Start

Pitcher xERA Start 1 wRC+ Start 2 wRC+
Carlos Rodon SF 2.69 @ COL 102 @ ARI 85
Clayton Kershaw LAD 2.53 ARI 85 STL 132
Corbin Burnes MIL 3.12 NYM 118 @ CIN 94
Dylan Cease CHW 2.57 CLE 102 DET 72
Kyle Wright ATL 3.82 WAS 96 @ PHI 102
Luis Castillo SEA 3.26 @ OAK 83 @ KC 87
Max Scherzer NYM 2.93 @ MIL 109 @ OAK 83

Fantasy owners of Luis Castillo finally had their prayers answered when he was traded to the Seattle Mariners. After leaving the unfriendly confines of the Great American Ball Park, Castillo has a 2.37 ERA with a 1.03 WHIP with 60 strikeouts in 49.1 innings. Next week Castillo has two great matchups on the road as he takes on the Oakland Athletics and the Kansas City Royals.

Right now Dylan Cease is battling Justin Verlander for the American League Cy Young Award. On the year, Cease has a 2.57 xERA with a 31.8 K%. Hitters have struggled to a .180 xBA and .251 xwOBAcon against him. Simply put, he’s been incredible. Coming up, Cease will stay home to take on the Cleveland Guardians and the Detroit Tigers.

Should Start

Pitcher xERA Start 1 wRC+ Start 2 wRC+
Charlie Morton ATL 4.02 WAS 96 @ PHI 102
Edward Cabrera MIA 4.10 CHC 98 WAS 96
Logan Gilbert SEA 4.07 @ LAA 94 @ KC 87
Nick Lodolo CIN 3.64 BOS 111 MIL 88
Sonny Gray MIN 3.53 @ CLE 102 LAA 94
Tyler Anderson LAD 3.16 ARI 85 STL 132
Luis Garcia HOU 3.56 @ TB 102 @ BAL 99
Luis Severino NYY 3.07 PIT 82 BOS 99

Edward Cabrera has been a pleasant surprise to fantasy owners and is another example that the Miami Marlins know how to develop pitching. The 24-year-old has done a great job limiting hard contact and striking batters out. However, he is struggling with his command. His 12.3 BB% is in the bottom sixth percentile in baseball and his 4.10 xERA is drastically higher than his 2.70 ERA. With that said, Cabrera has two very friendly matchups next week. He will face the Chicago Cubs and the Washington Nationals at home.

Risky Business

Pitcher xERA Start 1 wRC+ Start 2 wRC+
Aaron Civale CLE 4.30 @ CHW 96 @ TEX 95
Adam Wainwright STL 4.33 @ SD 100 @ LAD 123
Cal Quantrill CLE 4.33 MIN 110 @ TEX 95
Drew Rasmussen TB 3.46 HOU 110 TOR 116
Dylan Bundy MIN 4.13 @ KC 87 LAA 94
Jose Suarez LAA 3.58 SEA 110 @ MIN 107
Kyle Gibson PHI 4.33 TOR 116 ATL 106
Merrill Kelly ARI 3.28 @ LAD 123 SF 95
Mike Clevinger SD 4.64 STL 111 @ COL 80
Ross Stripling TOR 3.46 @ PHI 102 @ TB 102
Wade Miley CHC 3.26 @ MIA 68 @ PIT 81

For the first time this season, Adam Wainwright is categorized as a “risky business” starter. Waino has given up 9 earned runs over his last 15 innings for a 5.40 ERA. On the bright side, it appears he has gotten a bit unlucky. During that time, he holds a .426 BABIP. Next week the Cardinals hit the road for a west coast road trip. Wainwright will start against the San Diego Padres and the Los Angeles Dodgers. It’s possible the Padres continue to struggle and the Dodgers rest some of their stars but I still don’t love those matchups.

Usually, I would never recommend Wade Miley. Especially during playoff season. However, I cannot overlook his matchups. Miley lines up against the worst hitting team in baseball against lefties, the Miami Marlins. Then he goes against the second worst hitting team, the Pittsburgh Pirates. Since returning from the IL, Miley has had nine strikeouts while only giving up three earned runs across nine innings. Maybe I am crazy but it’s possible he has a solid week.

Must Sit

Pitcher xERA Start 1 wRC+ Start 2 wRC+
Austin Voth BAL 4.36 DET 72 HOU 110
Brayan Bello BOS 3.77 @ CIN 99 @ NYY 112
Chad Kuhl COL 5.30 SF 95 SD 100
Cole Ragans TEX 5.37 LAA 86 CHC 96
Cory Abbott WAS 3.74 @ ATL 106 @ MIA 92
Jakob Junis SF 3.90 @ COL 80 @ ARI 97
Joey Wentz DET 4.02 @ BAL 94 @ CHW 128
Josh Lindblom MIL 9.57 NYM 118 @ CIN 84
JP Sears OAK 4.86 SEA 110 NYM 104
Kyle Freeland COL 5.03 SF 106 SD 102
Roansy Contreras PIT 4.39 @ NYY 112 CHC 98
Tyler Wells BAL 3.79 DET 72 HOU 110
Zach Davies ARI 4.42 @ LAD 123 SF 95
Zack Greinke KC 4.96 MIN 110 SEA 105
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