Albert Pujols home run tracker: How Cardinals slugger can finish career with 700 home runs at current pace

Joe Rivera

Joe Rivera

www.sportingnews.com

Hasta la vista, Albert Pujols. 

Before “The Machine” descends into the molten steel like the T-800 in “Terminator 2,” he’s putting the finishing touches on a Hall of Fame career and giving fans one last show.

The slugger, playing out the 2022 season with the Cardinals, is continuing his quest to become the fourth player in MLB history to reach the 700-home-run plateau. He looks to join Barry Bonds (762), Hank Aaron (755) and Babe Ruth (714) as the only sluggers to earn their exclusive club jacket.

Like bananas, home runs come in bunches, and Pujols has put himself in prime position to make a run at 700 during the last month of the season. Pujols hit a groove with six home runs in seven games in mid-August, and as of Sept. 18, with 698 home runs and 14 games left to play, he has a shot.

MORE: Albert Pujols’ recent binge puts him in thick of home run chase

Pujols’ career is winding down, and he’s going out with a bang — hopefully, at least two more of them. Here’s how it breaks down:

Albert Pujols stats

Pujols hit home run No. 698 on Sept. 16 against the Reds. He passed Alex Rodriguez for fourth on the all-time home run list earlier in the month. The Cardinals have 14 games remaining in the regular season.  

Helping Pujols in his quest for 700 is his torrid home run rate (HR/PA), which is 6.1 percent for the season. He got extremely hot in August, with eight home runs in 69 plate appearances, or 11.6 percent. He has four home runs in September. 

Perhaps helping Pujols’ case is that he’s facing a fair amount of familiar pitching through the end of the season: eight of the remaining 14 games on St. Louis’ schedule are against NL Central opponents. 

Albert Pujols home run pace

The chances of Pujols reaching 700 home runs are growing with him now needing just two more to reach the milestone.

Pujols has a 40.9 percent chance of finishing with at least 700 home runs as of Sept. 18, assuming that he plays at the same pace that he has already this season. He also has a 23.6 percent chance of finishing with exactly 700 home runs.

If Pujols were to play in all of St. Louis’ remaining games, then he has a 62.2 percent chance to reach the 700-home-run mark, and a 27.1 percent chance to finish with exactly 700 home runs.

TSN’s Edward Sutelan contributed to this story.  

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